Thursday, February 4, 2010

About the "Unnecessary Invention" for February

I know it seemed a shallow overstatement, so I feel compelled to explain why I said Meteorologists are an "Unnecessary Invention".

First you need to know that I was not kidding.  Second you should know that I participate in making the weatherman "necessary", and I am the first to turn to the Weather Channel.  Third, maybe it is a bit of an overstatement, but just hear me out.

Most of the weather we can perceive, or be prepared for in advance just by knowing that it's winter and prone to ice, or summer and prone to hurricanes.  As Jesus said, "When you see a cloud rising in the west, immediately you say, 'It's going to rain,' and it does."

Maybe we need meteorologists the way that we need calculators today.  I think we have lost the art of interpreting the heavens, and are now dependent on something that is no more certain than who will win the Super Bowl.  Not to put down meteorologists, I think it's a fascinating field, just not accurate enough for us to be dependent.

Consider this:  You may see very destructive weather, but you don't see a massacre of animals as a result.  God has equipped them, and also us.  We've just grown insensitive to our environment.  And that's spiritual too brotha.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

To make my point, here's an article by Jim Cantore:
Still humble after 25 years
by Jim Cantore , on Feb 12, 2010 2:57 pm ET
It's amazing after 25 years how humbling this science can be and how far we have come in the world of forecasting.

Faster computers give us the ability to get very detailed results over blocks of streets today where ten years ago we could barely get a quarter of a state into that grid.

As you might suspect the fine details of a forecast are much better these days, or are they...

Ok, now on to where I am going with this...

Yesterday it snowed at 3000 feet on Cypress mountain, the site of the freestyle and snowboard events. After seeing the temperature this morning was 31 degrees and trending colder it seemed like a similiar forecast of wet snow. Well, much to my dismay on my trip to Cypress today I found the temperature at 35 degrees and the snow another 1200 feet up.

In the world of atmospheric science, a couple of degrees can make or break a forecaster and no matter how detailed the data you're only as good as you're interpolation of it.

The challenges only get harder with two more storms racing into all the Vancouver venues and potentially disrupting the first weekend of competition.